F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd820623aca6331d297adec80ea1be3cbc84040e023e5b482563d6624a18c026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $927,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 15c | 185,889$28,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,476.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed No | 46c | 21,784$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 16c | 15,164$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,770.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 71c | 13,847$9,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,794.46 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 55c | 13,240$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.1 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 17c | 11,781$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,756.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 79c | 9,800$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.21 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 9,158$6,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.12 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 69c | 7,500$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 45c | 6,974$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.11 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 70c | 5,636$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 14c | 5,624$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,842.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +140%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 17c | 5,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 69c | 5,448$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 44c | 5,036$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 4,301$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 71c | 3,249$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…eddcbacked Yes | 17c | 2,973$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +494.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 28c | 2,425$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.72 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed No | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 52c | 2,257$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 16c | 2,209$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.51 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 75c | 2,080$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 58c | 2,048$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 20c | 1,903$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.29 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 18c | 1,882$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Yes | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed No | 46c | 1,801$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.24 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 25c | 1,793$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 35c | 1,707$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4489…2452backed Yes | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,598$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.07 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed No | 73c | 1,516$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,509$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yes | 66c | 1,331$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 70c | 1,122$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed No | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 63c | 1,049$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.76 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 47c | 1,044$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,036$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 19c | 1,008$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.46 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…ddfebacked Yes | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…781bbacked Yes | 72c | 986.85$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 59c | 966.94$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 22c | 953.56$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.48 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 62c | 949.99$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked No | 36c | 936.28$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked No | 33c | 889.16$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…0f7dbacked Yes | 17c | 868.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +474.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 32c | 847$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 70c | 817.67$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…7b61backed No | 73c | 812.01$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked Yes | 73c | 800$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Yes | 64c | 782.67$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Yes | 33c | 774.62$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 56c | 757.14$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 15c | 750$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked Yes | 76c | 739.99$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 38c | 739.26$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.09 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…cad1backed Yes | 69c | 720.45$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 18c | 633.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…acaebacked Yes | 41c | 630.3$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 60c | 623$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked No | 21c | 620.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 69c | 605.4$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 59c | 568.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 12c | 563.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe090…4d44backed Yes | 27c | 560.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…1540backed No | 25c | 555.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 62c | 550$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes | 71c | 542.21$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked No | 29c | 538.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ff3dbacked Yes | 67c | 537.76$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 17c | 523.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +199%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…d648backed Yes | 18c | 511.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…d1ddbacked Yes | 18c | 496.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…f758backed Yes | 24c | 483.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 73c | 460.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…2569backed Yes | 72c | 450$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 75c | 449.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 24c | 448$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d44…3520backed Yes | 42c | 420.39$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked No | 47c | 418.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 60c | 400.68$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…0212backed Yes | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 29c | 398.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Yes | 66c | 390.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.