F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae16a4f83df45b8c842821ef4e70c9b106abefffc9055c2f3412e8d33950d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked No | 78c | 150,000$116,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,115.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 22c | 100,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 23c | 30,006$6,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,901.42 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 22c | 10,940$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 17c | 7,250$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 23c | 6,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,663$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 9c | 5,507$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.56 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 37c | 5,211$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 23c | 4,370$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 4,109$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 28c | 3,917$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 7c | 3,660$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,556$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…559dbacked No | 67c | 2,603$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,559$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.74 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 72c | 2,380$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 38c | 2,240$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.22 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe729…7300backed Yes | 9c | 2,224$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 75c | 2,066$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.5 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 63c | 1,885$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.73 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…a98cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,697$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 71c | 1,666$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 27c | 1,525$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4489…2452backed Yes | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 76c | 1,367$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 76c | 1,329$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,325$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed No | 76c | 1,281$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 76c | 1,236$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.53 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 69c | 1,200$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.74 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,184$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,165$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Yes | 9c | 1,134$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b3…c5eabacked Yes | 24c | 1,110$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 34c | 1,101$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 2c | 963.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4082…45b9backed Yes | 3c | 927.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 780$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 28c | 771.26$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.81 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 36c | 699.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…490cbacked Yes | 20c | 696.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…a634backed Yes | 6c | 673.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 7c | 651.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 8c | 628.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 29c | 600$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes | 27c | 500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…ea49backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 64c | 490.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf41…533dbacked Yes | 7c | 457.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…15c1backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 17c | 437.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 70c | 429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…1320backed Yes | 34c | 416.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…7336backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…7a81backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…7a37backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 7c | 377.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…3618backed Yes | 6c | 353.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 71c | 309.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…cd14backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 294$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 11c | 274.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes | 26c | 247.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…e535backed Yes | 25c | 245.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes | 30c | 230$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…d7a3backed Yes | 8c | 221.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Yes | 6c | 216.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…f5ffbacked Yes | 28c | 212.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…8fd5backed Yes | 9c | 205.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…ce31backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 65c | 186.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 70c | 186.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 22c | 180.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 55c | 156.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…f2a8backed Yes | 11c | 127.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 16c | 119.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 11c | 117.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…34babacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…1882backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…9068backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.