F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d1a5ef7644054d0f4fddd05678c0bda98d02308ea1dfe4aa8699399da64291a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked No | 42c | 103,205$43,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,890.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 58c | 67,767$39,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,335.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 52c | 16,151$8,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,419.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 58c | 13,993$8,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,121.07 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 39c | 13,109$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,966.39 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 60c | 10,500$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 67c | 9,227$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…c7eebacked Yes | 12c | 8,379$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 29c | 6,990$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Yes | 80c | 6,573$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed No | 39c | 5,118$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.99 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 51c | 4,030$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 62c | 3,540$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 58c | 3,519$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.55 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 21c | 3,510$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.76 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,097$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.5 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…753fbacked Yes | 60c | 2,990$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 2,620$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 72c | 2,410$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…7a81backed No | 39c | 2,300$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +140%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,900$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 66c | 1,707$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.28 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…d573backed Yes | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…bfa5backed Yes | 15c | 1,669$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 55c | 1,418$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.24 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 1,415$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.89 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 37c | 1,395$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 40c | 1,244$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.33 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…2a62backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 69c | 1,191$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…cf5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…907cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 37c | 899.78$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.98 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 33c | 883.15$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.04 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d53…c882backed Yes | 62c | 824.68$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 65c | 742.78$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…8d0fbacked Yes | 8c | 699.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 22c | 699.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 37c | 695.02$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 30c | 658.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 65c | 612.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2926…2ab4backed Yes | 61c | 590.16$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 588$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 40c | 549.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 50c | 538.2$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.05 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 67c | 504$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 28c | 500$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 23c | 500$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.53 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…7336backed No | 63c | 489$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d44…3520backed Yes | 32c | 487$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 51c | 483.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 36c | 479$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 31c | 458.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 77c | 443.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 11c | 425.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 56c | 410.9$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 46c | 405.18$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 67c | 398.97$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 15c | 379.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 376.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Yes | 61c | 362.56$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…1a85backed Yes | 11c | 356.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 56c | 349.65$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…6764backed Yes | 29c | 345.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf71…4431backed Yes | 36c | 335$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…a4f1backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 60c | 320$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…f9f7backed Yes | 61c | 316.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…7b61backed Yes | 61c | 309.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…a634backed Yes | 26c | 307.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 33c | 306.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 37c | 299.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…1c26backed Yes | 26c | 298.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 55c | 298.6$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 55c | 291.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 39c | 285.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 38c | 284$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked No | 42c | 273.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 80c | 271.36$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 36c | 263.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 55c | 258.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…0b4fbacked Yes | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 49c | 247.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 51c | 246.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.