TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeac6…f9f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Movies, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$314
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$123
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.6%+$105.42
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$487.96
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.31
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.4%+$235.03
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62.4%+$667.7
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$230.3
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+122.5%+$512.3
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,893Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+45.3%+$857.8
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.3%+$29.34
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$549
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$17.49
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$76.81
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+146.8%+$73.39
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$161.25
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$106.06
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$19
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+35.6%+$70.91
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.24
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$49.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+67.1%+$134.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$85
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$62.76
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$168.49
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Oilers vs. Canadiensbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$177.34
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$143.2
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+101.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$270.9
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$82.56
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$91.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$11.48
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.3%+$49.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$66.81
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$123.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$37.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.