NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3376ad6eb4b99ae0ed80a63648b7c3e2425ac4d2670d8656616c0d23779e77a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Canadiens, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,036,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,075,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 956 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 44c | 201,764$88,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,558.67 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Lightning | 56c | 200,005$112,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,002.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Canadiens | 45c | 71,192$31,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,976.62 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lightning | 57c | 66,313$37,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,514.42 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Canadiens | 44c | 41,000$18,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,040 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens | 43c | 32,641$14,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,035.72 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lightning | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lightning | 57c | 28,208$16,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,129.43 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 43c | 26,904$11,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,677.51 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 54c | 13,408$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.88 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lightning | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 61c | 10,121$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.13 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 56c | 9,686$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.15 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ef40backed Lightning | 77c | 9,347$7,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 57c | 9,298$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.25 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 57c | 9,239$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.18 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Canadiens | 1c | 9,230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 25c | 6,921$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.63 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Canadiens | 0c | 6,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 0c | 6,142$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Lightning | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 56c | 5,897$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.66 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Canadiens | 6c | 5,216$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Canadiens | 28c | 5,087$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.95 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Canadiens | 19c | 4,753$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.53 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Lightning | 63c | 4,667$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens | 43c | 4,647$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Lightning | 56c | 4,375$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Canadiens | 35c | 4,308$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.61 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Canadiens | 43c | 4,162$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.66 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Canadiens | 14c | 4,090$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Lightning | 58c | 4,013$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.46 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Canadiens | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Lightning | 51c | 4,000$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 30c | 3,647$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canadiens | 19c | 3,437$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.88 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Canadiens | 24c | 3,333$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +689.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lightning | 73c | 3,203$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.8 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Canadiens | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Lightning | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.97 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Lightning | 57c | 2,997$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.11 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Canadiens | 4c | 2,793$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens | 4c | 2,402$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,235$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.56 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.46 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Lightning | 59c | 2,005$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.07 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,974$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.1 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…187bbacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,850$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…43b9backed Lightning | 57c | 1,850$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,830$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.06 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Canadiens | 22c | 1,828$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 58c | 1,800$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.19 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…c947backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…3563backed Lightning | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…c795backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,761$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…b9f6backed Lightning | 57c | 1,761$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,710$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.17 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Lightning | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.95 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lightning | 74c | 1,582$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.68 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,539$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.15 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,519$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.05 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Canadiens | 3c | 1,462$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Lightning | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lightning | 75c | 1,351$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.01 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,346$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.35 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,307$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.87 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Canadiens | 20c | 1,278$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 38c | 1,212$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.07 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…655cbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…f579backed Lightning | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…c062backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…8828backed Lightning | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…8edbbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…3fdbbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…6adabacked Lightning | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…122dbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…8db4backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…617fbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…57a3backed Lightning | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…fd84backed Lightning | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…3c13backed Lightning | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…e1e7backed Lightning | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…278ebacked Lightning | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…ae01backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc9…3c99backed Lightning | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…2ee2backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea38…eab9backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4549backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…8c7bbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…8e62backed Lightning | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b70…a1a9backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…cbd7backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightningthis page
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.