La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3daf066194447238b05b2e72c9b8ac45e4e38a907db9c4933369ca24194aafc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85df…9124backed No | 3c | 3,157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 985.65$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 52c | 286.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 54c | 182.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked Yes | 54c | 176.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 145.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 115.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 51c | 60.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 58.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 54c | 55.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…05bcbacked Yes | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…9664backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 48c | 43.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…f9f7backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…43dcbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked No | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Yes | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked No | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Yes | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Yes | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…15adbacked Yes | 55c | 27.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 50c | 22.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 57c | 21.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.