La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77cf18f7ba2edd1f160bf6310b6abaf5406919f96e0acac81a3adf18e9569f41

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Deportivo Alavésof Real Madrid CF, Deportivo Alavés
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $81,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,887 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x95b8…47c9backed Real Madrid CF	39c	12,194$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,699.86	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa297…8e9bbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	11,832$4,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,378	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Deportivo Alavés	64c	10,302$6,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,665.26	4,729	47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Deportivo Alavés	63c	10,044$6,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,716.45	1,018	53.1%541 W · 477 L	-24.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Deportivo Alavés	62c	8,123$5,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,088.09	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Deportivo Alavés	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Real Madrid CF	0c	3,067$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Deportivo Alavés	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.71	66	72.7%48 W · 18 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Real Madrid CF	37c	1,327$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Deportivo Alavés	66c	1,139$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.27	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Deportivo Alavés	63c	999.99$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	234	52.6%123 W · 111 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf7…0f82backed Real Madrid CF	34c	961.47$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Deportivo Alavés	50c	937.64$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.18	3,444	43%1,482 W · 1,962 L	+31.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Real Madrid CF	37c	921.62$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…af75backed Real Madrid CF	37c	910.79$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Real Madrid CF	36c	829.69$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6520…315cbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	800$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Real Madrid CF	38c	792.05$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.98	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Deportivo Alavés	64c	782.01$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.52	691	42.5%294 W · 397 L	-21.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc975…3265backed Real Madrid CF	36c	736.11$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Real Madrid CF	36c	679.17$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.5	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Real Madrid CF	40c	627.63$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe7…fa80backed Real Madrid CF	35c	612.64$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Real Madrid CF	37c	608.48$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Real Madrid CF	38c	550.79$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.3	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Real Madrid CF	37c	550$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF	37c	534.09$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.99	283	42.8%121 W · 162 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Real Madrid CF	38c	526.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Real Madrid CF	37c	432.43$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	49cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Real Madrid CF	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Real Madrid CF	35c	342.86$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	139	36%50 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid CF	36c	323.51$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	262	42.7%112 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Real Madrid CF	36c	300$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	225	40.4%91 W · 134 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Real Madrid CF	36c	279.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Real Madrid CF	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Deportivo Alavés	76c	261.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.53	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Real Madrid CF	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	317	45.7%145 W · 172 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Real Madrid CF	33c	199.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Real Madrid CF	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Deportivo Alavés	63c	196$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.52	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4000…e9d3backed Real Madrid CF	37c	182.76$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Deportivo Alavés	64c	176$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.36	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	162.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid CF	37c	160$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	139	58.3%81 W · 58 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Deportivo Alavés	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Deportivo Alavés	65c	150.99$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.85	424	58%246 W · 178 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Real Madrid CF	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefdd…217fbacked Real Madrid CF	33c	140$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Real Madrid CF	37c	136.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Real Madrid CF	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Real Madrid CF	37c	121.62$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-7.3wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Real Madrid CF	36c	111.83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.26	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	0%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	108.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	114	27.2%31 W · 83 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Real Madrid CF	37c	105$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	82	41.5%34 W · 48 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Deportivo Alavés	63c	103$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.11	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd792…5978backed Real Madrid CF	37c	100.05$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Real Madrid CF	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Real Madrid CF	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Deportivo Alavés	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	501	49.5%248 W · 253 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Deportivo Alavés	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Deportivo Alavés	65c	99.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.99	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa81e…15e2backed Real Madrid CF	37c	95.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed Real Madrid CF	37c	94.59$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Real Madrid CF	23c	87.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Real Madrid CF	37c	87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.76	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Deportivo Alavés	65c	87$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f6…a514backed Real Madrid CF	37c	81.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a0…9b88backed Real Madrid CF	37c	81.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	58cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Real Madrid CF	35c	77.79$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	387	29.5%114 W · 273 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Deportivo Alavés	64c	76$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Real Madrid CF	33c	73.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Real Madrid CF	34c	70.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+5.5wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Deportivo Alavés	67c	69.7$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.14	532	46.1%245 W · 287 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Real Madrid CF	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Real Madrid CF	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Real Madrid CF	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Real Madrid CF	36c	59$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Real Madrid CF	37c	58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.46	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Real Madrid CF	37c	57$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	57$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Real Madrid CF	36c	56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	489	34.4%168 W · 321 L	+26.5wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Real Madrid CF	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a6…af86backed Real Madrid CF	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Deportivo Alavés	63c	53$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.61	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x950c…e5ebbacked Real Madrid CF	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48c7…fee8backed Real Madrid CF	37c	52.43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Deportivo Alavés	63c	51$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	62cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Real Madrid CF	37c	50.68$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	195	44.1%86 W · 109 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Real Madrid CF	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Deportivo Alavés	61c	46.6$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.23	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Real Madrid CF	37c	46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Deportivo Alavés	64c	45$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Real Madrid CF	37c	42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d1…b785backed Real Madrid CF	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Real Madrid CF	30c	41.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Real Madrid CF	38c	40.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c14…9d72backed Real Madrid CF	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d81…5d42backed Real Madrid CF	35c	40.66$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	45cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event