La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f27ff2399e7c53a51ddcdc46a5186de687f353432bbe1e4c3fa6293be4ed1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 78c | 9,117$7,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.29 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 8,238$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.11 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 5,051$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.35 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 4c | 4,050$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 78c | 2,600$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 22c | 1,760$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.24 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 78c | 1,541$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 23c | 990$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 23c | 853.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 75c | 791$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 79c | 643.08$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 79c | 510.35$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 483.03$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 268.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 17c | 253.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 79c | 253.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 190.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 78c | 185.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 65c | 183.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 78c | 180.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 78c | 160.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 145.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 23c | 132.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 16c | 131$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…4b39backed Under | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c340backed Over | 78c | 62.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…655bbacked Over | 77c | 51.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…db15backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Under | 23c | 44.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 74c | 41.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…3b64backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 78c | 36.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…9ffabacked Over | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…eaddbacked Over | 78c | 26.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…f8aebacked Over | 78c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…15adbacked Over | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…7b4ebacked Over | 74c | 19.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…64f1backed Over | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…6b26backed Over | 79c | 14.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 74c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…cab7backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.