TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$783,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$865,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5b4…9785backed No36c51,148$18,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,495.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No63c38,375$24,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,069.764566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes6c37,550$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.993444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes34c24,772$8,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,496.678139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c20,880$12,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,319.771,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes58c18,924$10,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,892.656347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Yes62c18,770$11,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,608.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e60…98e1backed Yes1c17,516$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes8c16,230$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c12,554$7,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,328.6693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes33c11,721$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,868.198342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes7c11,581$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Yes7c11,093$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.612030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1006442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes57c10,000$5,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,708.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No51c9,657$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700.932568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes28c8,964$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.871323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes33c8,164$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.747345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes8c7,033$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.31822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes58c6,624$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.274837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes66c6,363$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes8c6,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.997332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No39c5,561$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.5634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1505158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c775backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes61c4,823$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.5443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x967b…c925backed Yes68c4,545$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No63c4,521$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.794656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes6c4,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9814249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No63c3,525$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.532334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes71c3,510$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No39c3,497$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.3211772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes7c3,495$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6820143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes9c3,441$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c3,441$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.5328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes60c3,348$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7737…e2eebacked Yes5c3,147$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed No58c3,000$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.94862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes8c2,769$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6212923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes51c2,707$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.4431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No47c2,601$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.5696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes65c2,527$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.782650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No63c2,370$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.583740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Yes61c2,296$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.26933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes12c2,221$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes40c2,006$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4420431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes37c2,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.996245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes7c2,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Yes7c1,998$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.75714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Yes63c1,932$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.271729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df3…53d7backed Yes2c1,922$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes40c1,916$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.7359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes7c1,912$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.672040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Yes1c1,903$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c1,884$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes54c1,870$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Yes7c1,750$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecb…514cbacked Yes31c1,700$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7938…95ccbacked Yes60c1,680$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes63c1,621$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.0518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed No63c1,579$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes57c1,551$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.511127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Yes57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes7c1,500$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.169556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes52c1,460$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.9728445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked No57c1,277$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.072470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes63c1,160$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.9414936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes43c1,089$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.27544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Yes57c1,069$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes8c999.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes64c938.27$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes8c900$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes9c880$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked No40c878.03$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.033956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes3c860.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.572924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Yes41c843.75$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1011…c067backed Yes7c820$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-72.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No36c802.03$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.311964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes61c801.76$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.186439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No60c749.99$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No70c726.44$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.892630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Yes41c714$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6119…d7fabacked Yes28c648.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No29c643.92$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.181136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes64c625.25$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d052backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No62c625$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a60…9253backed Yes8c619.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…8000backed Yes4c599.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No40c599.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.994429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes9c599.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes8c597.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.794860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.