Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76d793c2ad8d0b1f0691f3977d1f8fb6d368f1a0168d1f91d2e5bd953a359ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,577,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,629,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,577,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 961 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1da8…e9e2backed Yes | 0c | 186,275$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 75c | 132,556$99,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,108.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 73c | 95,944$70,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,214.58 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 25c | 70,992$17,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,033.96 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,499.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 48,813$26,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,213.78 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 73c | 44,845$32,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,894.18 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 28c | 44,670$12,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,062.59 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 47c | 40,000$18,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,849.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 26c | 38,360$9,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,386.44 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 27c | 36,000$9,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,229.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 40c | 34,821$13,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,910.5 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 26c | 34,150$8,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,271 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 26c | 33,613$8,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,873.44 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 74c | 26,998$19,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,978.79 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 24,900$10,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,412.03 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,799.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 42c | 17,410$7,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,309.15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 27c | 16,476$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,039.12 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 29c | 14,875$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,518.74 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 26c | 14,806$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,008.67 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 74c | 14,595$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800.3 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 14,530$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,769.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 73c | 13,271$9,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,692.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 26c | 12,962$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,651.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 39c | 12,637$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 20c | 12,461$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 30c | 12,177$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,542.97 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 27c | 12,000$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,789.84 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 10,403$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 26c | 10,382$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,682.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 28c | 10,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,239.97 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.92 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 9,422$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 27c | 8,997$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.41 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.98 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 62c | 7,294$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.64 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 75c | 6,947$5,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.66 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 20c | 6,264$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 74c | 6,081$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.91 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 74c | 5,793$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.79 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,423$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 72c | 5,278$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 36c | 5,061$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 25c | 4,545$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 52c | 4,274$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 29c | 4,224$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.14 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 28c | 4,143$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 30cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 28c | 4,037$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.25 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 75c | 4,020$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 30c | 3,884$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.79 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Yes | 15c | 3,808$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Yes | 21c | 3,590$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 71c | 3,547$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 74c | 3,500$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 28c | 3,450$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 28c | 3,411$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.27 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 27c | 3,389$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 28c | 3,354$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 26c | 3,062$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 23c | 3,046$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 3,036$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.07 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 3,014$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.97 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.99 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 27c | 2,950$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 74c | 2,761$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.19 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,710$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.78 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 75c | 2,592$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 18c | 2,522$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…590cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,336$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,241$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 25c | 2,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.25 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 52c | 2,152$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 27c | 2,133$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.19 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 25c | 2,113$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 33c | 2,093$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d15…c004backed Yes | 33c | 2,087$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Yes | 73c | 2,015$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Yes | 38c | 1,800$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 75c | 1,743$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 75c | 1,733$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 74c | 1,720$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 74c | 1,697$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?No won
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.