TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a60…9253

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$220.8
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$109.65
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+455.6%+$261.58
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$204.32
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$143.43
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$252.58
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+244.6%+$9,817.55
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+591.2%+$16,374.54
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$977.08
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$415.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+545.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$92.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.