Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236c862f282376b20d095e25a56a5ff748023d9e7535fed3385793b0e270f7b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 11,754$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.67 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 15c | 5,907$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 16c | 2,503$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.18 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,495$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 7c | 1,084$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 16c | 1,056$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 8c | 812.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 755$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 15c | 666.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 14c | 496.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 15c | 470$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 402.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…9253backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 7c | 283.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 16c | 220.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 16c | 210.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…5274backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 16c | 142.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…acc7backed Yes | 12c | 126.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 15c | 112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes | 15c | 98.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 15c | 93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.