Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3460d9f2a85eb2e9b655cfb72f418a4be8281044cd622a9da0792e54de647f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $744,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $804,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked Yes | 78c | 78,278$61,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,221.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 22c | 55,160$12,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,071.67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 22c | 54,670$12,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,027.4 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 79c | 44,231$34,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,480.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 22c | 38,400$8,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 22c | 28,933$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,365.26 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 22c | 22,330$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 21c | 21,447$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 20c | 16,846$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.59 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 79c | 14,647$11,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.09 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 3c | 13,976$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.54 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.92 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 79c | 9,518$7,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.76 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 21c | 8,096$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 21c | 8,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 78c | 7,991$6,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.48 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 79c | 7,516$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 78c | 6,709$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.91 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 6,672$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.25 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 20c | 6,275$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 21c | 5,714$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 5,426$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 22c | 5,100$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 78c | 3,975$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.51 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 21c | 3,420$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 2c | 3,343$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…3ea9backed Yes | 79c | 3,341$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 22c | 3,173$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.96 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 5c | 2,906$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 5c | 2,370$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 1,928$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 22c | 1,900$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 79c | 1,646$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.57 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 3c | 1,609$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 4c | 1,549$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 78c | 1,466$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 22c | 1,395$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…5c09backed Yes | 79c | 1,384$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,281$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Yes | 78c | 1,259$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 22c | 1,134$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 78c | 1,037$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 22c | 900.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 77c | 840.26$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 79c | 822.78$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Yes | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 2c | 735.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 79c | 699.48$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 79c | 655.11$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 22c | 633.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 79c | 569.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 79c | 554.11$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 79c | 529.27$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 5c | 517.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…4bdebacked Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 78c | 509.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 79c | 501.48$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed No | 3c | 478.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 78c | 477.32$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 22c | 477.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 80c | 456$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked No | 22c | 454.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 21c | 443.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…1326backed No | 3c | 435.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed No | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 79c | 399.78$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 78c | 393.59$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 76c | 355.26$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 79c | 337.11$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…cb29backed No | 23c | 330.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 79c | 320$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Yes | 79c | 317.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…bf98backed Yes | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 13c | 314.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…5b1fbacked Yes | 79c | 313.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 7c | 313$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Yes | 79c | 311.86$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Yes | 79c | 309$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.