Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48457c87fd4ae1bb9c3c8fdbf7d1a7550532458111db6d0111ec45303ab7fea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 16,242$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.94 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 13,824$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.03 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 7,100$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 7c | 5,468$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 7c | 3,826$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 7c | 2,885$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0089…7c42backed Yes | 1c | 2,399$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 2,357$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 6c | 1,699$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 7c | 1,357$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 1,355$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 1,330$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,077$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e7…55a3backed Yes | 1c | 1,036$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Yes | 6c | 999.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 1c | 726.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 3c | 681.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…f68cbacked Yes | 2c | 626.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 7c | 580$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 7c | 578$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Yes | 7c | 487.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 7c | 451.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 431.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 7c | 398.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 6c | 364$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 8c | 321.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 7c | 300.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…3d0ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 6c | 299.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 146.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-12?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.