TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,693,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,712,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,693,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,808 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers40c146,719$59,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,309.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers37c134,592$49,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,793.0387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Hornets56c102,307$57,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,539.5816846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets63c80,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,40059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets62c73,637$45,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,895.142,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers76c65,448$49,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,615.3822457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Hornets64c62,520$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0002580%20 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers37c60,000$22,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,799.931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets62c50,102$31,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,064.5551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets63c48,025$30,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,281.22,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers56c37,183$20,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,196.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Hornets63c35,021$22,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,042.8315740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Hornets63c31,625$19,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,923.7429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Hornets49c27,718$13,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,622.5838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets52c27,061$14,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,016.161,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets29c26,925$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,688.431,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Pacers38c26,667$10,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,640.0216752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Pacers37c26,343$9,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,465.924261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers38c20,649$7,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,766.114,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Hornets61c20,000$12,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,203.5821250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pacers37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.7915841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Hornets63c19,768$12,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,418.6623245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers36c18,699$6,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,969.481,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed Hornets57c18,590$10,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,686.062352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets47c16,600$7,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Hornets63c15,235$9,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,598.0519150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pacers37c15,023$5,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,464.4720551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets63c15,003$9,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,406.121951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Hornets63c15,000$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,45015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Pacers37c14,999$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,449.3714243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hornets63c14,637$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,25028649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Hornets47c13,946$6,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,523.1727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers37c13,742$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,652.3847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Hornets58c13,717$8,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,022.465664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Hornets62c13,696$8,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,491.5816848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Hornets33c13,329$4,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4363411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets62c13,196$8,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,128.672,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets43c12,582$5,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,427.791,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa64…bf96backed Hornets61c11,629$7,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,093.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets44c11,034$4,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.061,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hornets37c10,769$3,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945.9461939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets49c10,110$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,955.659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers37c10,046$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,328.81,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Pacers37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30011252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Hornets57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9814245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.961,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers47c9,935$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,310.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Pacers38c9,402$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,806.92060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Pacers49c9,210$4,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,673.788230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Pacers60c8,143$4,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.6610947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe95…fa5cbacked Pacers38c8,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pacers53c7,801$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.9521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers43c7,572$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.061,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Hornets39c7,357$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.7946940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Hornets41c6,888$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.6689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Pacers59c6,649$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.2216657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Hornets60c6,501$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.5814945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Pacers38c6,500$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0308348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Pacers39c6,500$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.9613148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Hornets61c6,083$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.0821538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Pacers38c6,062$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.155345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bc…84febacked Hornets58c6,000$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4702458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Pacers78c5,826$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.041586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Hornets63c5,637$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.3128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Pacers39c5,510$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.1713743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Hornets62c5,482$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.274961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pacers46c5,315$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.4834456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5525backed Pacers39c5,297$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Hornets57c5,296$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00033632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c1…2a12backed Hornets60c5,244$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,162.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Hornets41c5,112$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0806851.5%35 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Hornets2c5,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.515348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1658…d875backed Pacers40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Hornets63c4,762$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ad…20ddbacked Hornets60c4,753$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3107…63b9backed Pacers65c4,730$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.664757.4%27 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaff0…6223backed Pacers39c4,697$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+105.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Hornets63c4,535$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.129256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Pacers39c4,513$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.0136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Pacers38c4,500$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.9839349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets59c4,286$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.053,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Hornets63c4,233$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.6317250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers54c4,140$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.2885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets41c4,102$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.32,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9863…19f3backed Hornets62c4,100$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5421050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers37c4,100$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,59061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers39c4,014$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.3548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Hornets57c4,000$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.9947043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b77…f234backed Pacers39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+54.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Pacers57c3,973$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.055046%23 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Pacers36c3,833$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.46454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Pacers73c3,830$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.8543051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers40c3,806$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.7846342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers50c3,751$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.763,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pacers39c3,644$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.128742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Hornets42c3,607$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.366943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.