TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under56c16,392$9,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,219.351,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c10,505$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under53c9,466$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,466.3176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over43c5,225$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.033,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c3,655$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c3,202$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.992,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over37c3,151$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.621,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under64c3,127$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.656756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c2,370$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under60c2,320$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.312,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79216657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under60c1,459$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.362,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c1,278$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.922,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over45c1,136$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.364037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over42c1,013$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.763,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c999.09$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over39c972$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…08aabacked Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4165052%26 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c795$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Over67c673.07$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over42c663.98$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.182,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under50c637.9$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.932151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over44c632.37$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3616036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over56c592.52$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over40c534.15$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over41c518.14$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4350347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under66c449$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.832,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under58c437$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under55c418.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.182763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd227…ce88backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd74c…deb7backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under53c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18828751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under56c357.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7340243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over47c353.22$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0116547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under61c328.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5913354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under39c255.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7310744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Under43c233.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Under43c232.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.12035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Over43c209.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over55c209.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1918339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over48c208.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under55c200.01$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7139736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Under57c189.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.165942.4%25 W · 34 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c178.84$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over42c167.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.612,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under56c138$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.726454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under55c129.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797f…d774backed Over47c127.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Over47c119.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.125156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c118.74$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.192,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over43c116.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0220353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over48c105.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508446.4%39 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4524946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under49c99.86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9137352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed Over65c89.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.496132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over47c87.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.341,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.214955.1%27 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over70c85.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc2f…3a8bbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4088845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over41c81.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.232,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under56c81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.647247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.32969%20 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83fc…2bedbacked Under69c77.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.49666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over53c76.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Over54c70.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.871838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x820f…0ddcbacked Under67c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c66.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c65.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.852,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under47c63.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.481,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c56.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.773,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under54c54.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.176965.2%45 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Under57c53.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2316261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x920d…bb46backed Under47c52.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9811157.7%64 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under53c50.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.151,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Under57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.884369.8%30 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514727.2%40 W · 107 L-21.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under62c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over37c49.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under45c46.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7619232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x847c…9d31backed Under43c46.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.433951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over44c45.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.363545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8656454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under42c43.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0221642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under54c41.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.742551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c41.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed Over44c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over44c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.282937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.