NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00c5259416bd576aa91fc70c879f7c3c99d20be887266475fdfcf41664686dfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 46c | 110,850$50,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,859.04 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 54c | 102,256$55,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,217.98 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 52c | 27,427$14,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,313.94 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 54c | 18,490$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,949.62 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 14,952$6,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Under | 46c | 8,791$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.3 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 6,761$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.73 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 5,772$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.07 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 4,700$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 47c | 3,510$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.3 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Under | 47c | 2,912$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 2,672$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 44c | 2,407$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.19 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 1,835$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 1,781$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 56c | 1,769$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.49 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 55c | 1,522$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.1 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,145$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 48c | 823.46$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.2 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 733$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 55c | 620.64$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.35 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 48c | 592$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 49c | 517.84$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…1ef9backed Under | 49c | 394.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 55c | 372.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 75c | 347.56$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.06 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 249.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 182.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 55c | 167.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 54c | 146.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 114.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 55c | 113.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 51c | 110.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 50c | 97.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 97.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Under | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 29c | 71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 62.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Under | 46c | 43.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…d468backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 47c | 39.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9064…084dbacked Under | 47c | 35.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…8b18backed Under | 49c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pacers won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists Over 7.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HornetsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.