NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628cccbb73bb7363900d69cf0bcd19bafda7bda19e76adc4bbc4664b31a6fb82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Hornets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pacers | 55c | 2,656$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.36 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 43c | 2,452$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Pacers | 55c | 2,325$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.46 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 45c | 1,416$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 45c | 1,127$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pacers | 57c | 1,078$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.92 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Hornets | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Hornets | 48c | 791.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Pacers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Pacers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pacers | 67c | 285$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Hornets | 46c | 204.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pacers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Hornets | 47c | 107.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Hornets | 46c | 81.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Hornets | 47c | 79.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Hornets | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…db70backed Pacers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…ee1bbacked Pacers | 56c | 30.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Hornets | 49c | 26.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pacers won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists Over 7.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HornetsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.