NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x537b8d3d499954e2ee6797b21b2fd7391da91755fb082323f168835180e436b9

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pacersof Hornets, Pacers
Resolved: Jan 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $222,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $222,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,567 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers	49c	79,583$39,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,315.82	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pacers	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,000	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets	51c	41,180$21,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,001.8	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets	51c	24,552$12,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,508.28	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Pacers	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,400	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+10.7wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Hornets	47c	20,000$9,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,400	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9705…d646backed Hornets	50c	19,822$9,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,911.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets	50c	13,620$6,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,812.34	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hornets	50c	12,570$6,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,300.9	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers	49c	9,980$4,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,094.85	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets	51c	8,403$4,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,280	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Hornets	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Hornets	51c	6,448$3,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,288.37	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers	54c	6,316$3,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,921.23	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers	49c	6,110$3,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,101.32	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.99	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Hornets	52c	4,289$2,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,230	155	49.7%77 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets	50c	3,996$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997.79	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Hornets	51c	3,923$1,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.59	259	45.6%118 W · 141 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pacers	52c	3,461$1,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650.46	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets	48c	3,234$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.59	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea3…be9abacked Hornets	50c	3,188$1,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,593.79	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Hornets	50c	3,030$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Hornets	50c	2,561$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.42	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers	49c	2,434$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.34	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Pacers	51c	2,269$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.9	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f07…0c4abacked Hornets	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers	50c	1,909$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.99	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets	46c	1,835$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.9	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Hornets	46c	1,563$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.13	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets	50c	1,479$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.57	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets	40c	1,408$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.21	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Pacers	50c	1,283$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.5	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf373…dc57backed Pacers	55c	1,100$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Hornets	52c	1,040$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets	50c	1,001$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.6	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pacers	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Pacers	54c	900$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers	49c	811.87$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.05	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc5…b639backed Pacers	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Pacers	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets	46c	650$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Pacers	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers	50c	500$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.33	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa28f…d25ebacked Hornets	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Hornets	50c	478.71$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.36	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed Pacers	55c	437.04$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.04	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hornets	50c	380.38$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.19	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Hornets	48c	331.75$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.61	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Hornets	46c	326.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hornets	43c	271.01$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.2	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Hornets	52c	251.65$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.86	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-7.4wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Hornets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	304	54.9%167 W · 137 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Pacers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Hornets	51c	197.2$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.57	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Hornets	51c	196.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Pacers	54c	159.5$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.37	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Hornets	46c	152.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Hornets	46c	150$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pacers	48c	137.01$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.24	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Pacers	53c	137$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.39	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Hornets	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.3	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Hornets	54c	108.47$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.1	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Hornets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Hornets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Pacers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Pacers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Hornets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Hornets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Pacers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+12.3wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Hornets	51c	99.92$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Hornets	50c	95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pacers	54c	92.87$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.87	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers	50c	90.8$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.69	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…bd0bbacked Pacers	51c	88.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.24	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-6.4wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Hornets	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Hornets	51c	80.39$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Pacers	51c	78.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.58	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets	50c	78.4$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Hornets	52c	73.08$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Hornets	52c	67.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Hornets	45c	64.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	183	39.3%72 W · 111 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Pacers	52c	64.5$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.1	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Pacers	52c	64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.72	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+9.6wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Pacers	49c	59.1$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.14	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Hornets	26c	57.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hornets	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Hornets	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Hornets	52c	48.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.32	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets	47c	48.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b79…5d91backed Pacers	51c	46.29$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Hornets	47c	44$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hornets	46c	43.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Hornets	47c	43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Hornets	51c	41.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…f54fbacked Hornets	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…749abacked Hornets	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Pacers	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hornets (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pacers won
LaMelo Ball: Assists Over 7.5Yes won
Pacers vs. HornetsPacers won
Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pacers won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Pacers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event