Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec15d00272d2c6a5a1bc1eef7eb263a750ec8400a45d030e503c47d03f1df120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 13c | 15,536$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.29 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Yes | 15c | 12,837$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.17 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 14c | 10,354$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.77 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 13c | 10,226$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Yes | 15c | 3,859$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 3,815$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.92 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 4c | 3,807$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 1c | 3,796$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 4c | 2,816$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…a16ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,129$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…59bcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,031$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 1c | 1,819$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 1c | 1,576$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…3303backed Yes | 2c | 1,452$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,386$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,308$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,181$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 16c | 1,123$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…4180backed Yes | 1c | 1,072$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae3…493abacked Yes | 2c | 1,035$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 979.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…9253backed Yes | 5c | 818.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Yes | 15c | 795.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 17c | 755.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…b099backed Yes | 13c | 715.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 709.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 9c | 600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…b043backed Yes | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 13c | 574$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 14c | 571.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 9c | 547.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 14c | 535.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…99abbacked Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…359bbacked Yes | 14c | 429.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 421.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9cf3backed Yes | 3c | 414.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…b7ecbacked Yes | 5c | 408.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 15c | 373$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Yes | 15c | 365$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 19c | 322.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed Yes | 15c | 314.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…0f8fbacked Yes | 12c | 292.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Yes | 13c | 284.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…6d5cbacked Yes | 14c | 260.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…754cbacked Yes | 12c | 233.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…a312backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…310cbacked Yes | 13c | 230.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 14c | 222.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…24f4backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 145.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 145.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…3cc0backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…675dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ed…3d75backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bab…d83cbacked Yes | 13c | 129.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 17c | 75.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3514…c9a0backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?No won
- Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.