Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93f70787460d004c04c5d7046199e414cf141d52a00a3cc4b9a5670958150e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,180,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,469,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 622 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 41c | 74,788$30,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,663.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 72,810$27,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,888.59 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 42c | 69,431$28,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,839.51 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked Yes | 59c | 65,523$38,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,864.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 62,130$36,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,317.67 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 57,772$34,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,403.98 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 57c | 53,000$30,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,689.64 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 56c | 29,734$16,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,082.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 59c | 25,430$14,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,453.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 44c | 19,409$8,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,539.75 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 19,300$7,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815.66 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 42c | 16,326$6,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,781.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 16,216$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.76 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 15,567$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 41c | 15,487$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…f353backed Yes | 59c | 14,980$8,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 41c | 14,107$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 45c | 13,384$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 13,128$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.57 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 45c | 11,290$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 41c | 10,914$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.91 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 60c | 10,890$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.94 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 60c | 10,333$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed No | 40c | 10,009$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.97 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 72c | 9,430$6,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.65 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 61c | 8,524$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 8,441$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.74 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 58c | 8,372$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.46 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 7,751$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.87 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 7,577$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.45 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 13c | 7,293$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.07 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed Yes | 79c | 7,120$5,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 39c | 6,173$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.46 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed No | 0c | 5,550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 45c | 5,310$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 42c | 4,739$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.4 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 25c | 4,657$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Yes | 65c | 4,458$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 46c | 4,356$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 73c | 3,903$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.97 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 3,564$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.44 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 38c | 3,400$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 58c | 3,334$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 60c | 3,300$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 56c | 3,200$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.99 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 38c | 3,188$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 40c | 3,141$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 55c | 3,109$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.66 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 2,860$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.8 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 60c | 2,682$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.82 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 60c | 2,515$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.66 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 58c | 2,404$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 39c | 2,358$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.47 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 45c | 2,250$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.6 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,241$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.64 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 55c | 2,236$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 41c | 2,236$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 42c | 2,195$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.56 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 48c | 2,069$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…32bebacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 45c | 1,957$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.65 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 56c | 1,789$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 1,720$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.34 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 53c | 1,696$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.45 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 52c | 1,537$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.53 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 38c | 1,526$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.88 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 45c | 1,505$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.24 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed No | 41c | 1,434$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 42c | 1,402$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.3 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 21c | 1,351$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.55 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 42c | 1,332$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,323$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.8 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 39c | 1,300$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 57c | 1,165$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.53 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 59c | 1,140$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 61c | 1,107$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 1,104$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.28 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 39c | 1,095$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 45c | 1,073$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?No won
- Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.