TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes8c18,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.9832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c8,570$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.751,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No70c6,599$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c4,818$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.1430031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5d…85a1backed Yes9c4,354$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes27c4,060$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c3,790$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c3,623$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.4417338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes29c3,450$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes35c2,843$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.911323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c2,557$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.9835942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes29c2,223$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.595450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c2,083$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.2329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes7c1,512$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.833318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c1,427$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes8c1,218$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.314740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes9c1,115$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No69c1,013$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes30c1,007$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013860.1%83 W · 55 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No80c999.72$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6223738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes29c900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c885.47$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9810748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes31c877.42$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c859.38$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.821,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes15c778.06$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11614620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007544%33 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…6602backed Yes29c650.61$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.561735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No79c598.15$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.215547.3%26 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Yes21c571.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.251915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-75.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…359bbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Yes12c513.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c456.75$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5921444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c428.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a44…e974backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc016…c69fbacked Yes8c334.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes6c330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…99abbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae3…493abacked Yes7c271.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac14…f155backed Yes7c228.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c71…e6aebacked Yes7c225$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No79c216.63$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.665032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c199.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504841.7%20 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f87…c664backed Yes29c174.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…b099backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…af57backed Yes32c171.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes17c171.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes8c162.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes7c157.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes30c146.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.262445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed No72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes9c137.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae96…0ebbbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes17c130.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5734630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes10c119.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No68c117$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.445040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dca…4bc5backed Yes31c116.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.572416.7%4 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No69c106$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x102e…ace7backed Yes32c103.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc691…389cbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915128.5%43 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf96a…3cc0backed Yes29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes29c89.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.947350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Yes14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810820.4%22 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes29c73.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6117048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No70c72.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.394845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No72c61.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+46.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes31c61.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7536939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No71c60.47$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.610630.2%32 W · 74 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f13…a3f3backed Yes20c54.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60fc…1031backed Yes27c52.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd0…e0f5backed No70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ef…e71ebacked No73c40.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+206.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes30c39.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.774264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Yes31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No71c35.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec5b…af86backed Yes32c35.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27da…8b6fbacked Yes32c31.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+90.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0f…675dbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked No66c30.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.313246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb6a…c47abacked No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.