TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54ee…6602

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 51 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 51 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.46
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$331.1
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.32
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$198.95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.38
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+50.2%+$86.99
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$65.47
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$27.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.87
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$14.71
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$81.4
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$33.12
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+32.1%+$94.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$73.46
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.42
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.75
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.79
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$49.56
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.6
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Algeria vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$253.51
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$176.11
Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$190.56
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+208.1%+$496.64
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$213
Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$151.31
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$24.65
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68.68
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$335
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$162
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$471.58
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150%+$303
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$836.47
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.3%+$164.74
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.93
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$58.5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$84.46
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+46%+$95.18
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$232.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$69.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38.93
Will SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.