Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec9e9e1bb73f26a73dea3a7e6ef79c5e3a14d3a9c330a1c8620fe6f313775bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 3,151$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.11 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 3,018$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.63 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 36c | 1,608$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.12 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,425$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 1,183$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.27 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 30c | 861.03$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Yes | 62c | 538.65$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 20c | 501.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 31c | 492.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 485.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 54c | 453.69$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 446.29$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.46 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 66c | 389.55$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…c8f2backed Yes | 36c | 376.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 27c | 374.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.26 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 349.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.94 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…785abacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 297$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 214.87$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 32c | 212$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 210.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.83 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…026cbacked Yes | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 59c | 199.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 27c | 151.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 37c | 145.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 38c | 142.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 65c | 127.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 25c | 123.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Yes | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 26c | 115$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +208.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…dbf0backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…3412backed Yes | 38c | 94.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked No | 24c | 92.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 26c | 62.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 53.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 30c | 53.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 80c | 51.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 26c | 45.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 27c | 43.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Yes | 76c | 41.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 35.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed No | 38c | 32.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…dea6backed No | 73c | 32.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…d8adbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…5399backed No | 55c | 28.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 52c | 26.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.