Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946677050019549ae35f3b2bc1c0a17c4038de9107343c0ec4984ccaa8e2f03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 29c | 39,176$11,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 33,358$24,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,259.44 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Yes | 28c | 31,290$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 24,827$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.21 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 19,999$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.39 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 14,009$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.97 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 9,729$7,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.72 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 6,707$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.07 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 79c | 5,477$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 28c | 1,836$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 70c | 1,610$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,192$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 1,188$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.03 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,133$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 986$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.94 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 72c | 608$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 556.27$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 71c | 449.3$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a8…03b2backed Yes | 27c | 432.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…d58cbacked Yes | 25c | 424$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 386.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 29c | 379.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…785abacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…9fe1backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked No | 73c | 269.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 13c | 224.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 209.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 24c | 203.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 25c | 195.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 25c | 184$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 74c | 175$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 27c | 173.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Yes | 28c | 160.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…54c9backed No | 73c | 149.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 147.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed No | 74c | 126.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…30d0backed No | 74c | 115.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 29c | 107.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 26c | 77.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +83%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…7af9backed Yes | 27c | 75.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…b87ebacked No | 73c | 68.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…68d5backed No | 74c | 64.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 20c | 63.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 72c | 62.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 71c | 57.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…b491backed Yes | 30c | 48.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…8777backed Yes | 30c | 48.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…c49dbacked Yes | 30c | 46.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 28c | 45.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…c396backed Yes | 30c | 43.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 43.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 28c | 43.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 77c | 41.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…413cbacked Yes | 30c | 39.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…cc6ebacked Yes | 26c | 38.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 73c | 37.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Yes | 29c | 37.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 36.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…74e8backed Yes | 30c | 34.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed No | 76c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked No | 74c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked No | 73c | 24.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 72c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…acebbacked No | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.