Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10714362328599d62e574a7994198dab8e4f9294e2d646f9cc41fa16402cf037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 46c | 208,697$95,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,693.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 150,204$81,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,093.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 27,500$15,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,475 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 16,231$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.02 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 14,257$7,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,593.97 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 9,471$5,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.28 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 54c | 8,130$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 6,445$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.3 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 45c | 4,510$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 47c | 4,444$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,159$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 3,584$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.52 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 2,250$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,211$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.27 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,999$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 1,948$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.02 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b3…70d9backed Yes | 48c | 1,215$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…67a0backed Yes | 49c | 1,153$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 54c | 963$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 47c | 733.29$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.65 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 629.24$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 487.13$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 48c | 394.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 51c | 320$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 55c | 315$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 304.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 53c | 281$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Yes | 25c | 277.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 51c | 262.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 48c | 238.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 42c | 228.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…c8f2backed No | 55c | 227.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Yes | 40c | 227$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 50c | 208.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 51c | 204.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 55c | 203.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 36c | 197.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 190.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 17c | 175.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Yes | 32c | 152.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 48c | 148.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 62c | 146.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 37c | 140.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 136.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 134.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 53c | 127.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 47c | 110.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes | 46c | 97.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Yes | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 94.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 27c | 93.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 42c | 92.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed No | 57c | 86.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…24c6backed Yes | 50c | 86.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 83.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 63c | 82.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed No | 56c | 78.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked No | 54c | 75.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 66.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 53c | 61.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d1…eaf4backed Yes | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 40c | 58.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 53c | 56.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed No | 54c | 56.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked No | 56c | 53.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.