TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$461,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$472,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes37c55,831$20,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,7955324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No63c43,380$27,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,050.7524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes36c27,865$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No64c22,530$14,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,066.665271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No63c18,363$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,763.3821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c17,155$12,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.386,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c16,815$11,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,351.982,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes15c15,735$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3005127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes34c15,532$5,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,302.621,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes34c14,550$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.423540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c13,355$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.621,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes28c9,386$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…ef40backed No67c8,873$5,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No64c8,180$5,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.0124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dad…5c37backed Yes37c7,665$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes21c7,660$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes36c6,919$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.041,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No76c6,769$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.921,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c5,758$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.121,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No66c5,500$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8709859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c5,270$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.382,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes29c5,227$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.8625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes37c4,924$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82210737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c4,866$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6434,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes33c4,513$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.367754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c4,366$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.5867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb802…5bbebacked Yes25c3,942$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes35c3,637$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.915446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No76c3,404$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.0921965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No65c3,300$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.0639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08020750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No68c2,931$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.0542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No78c2,618$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.675759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No66c2,361$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.617759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes21c2,227$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.924119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes15c2,167$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3254829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Yes35c2,006$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7129244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68014147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No67c1,999$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.79646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No66c1,749$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.1910956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes32c1,708$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.4912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No66c1,649$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.534358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.55745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes5c1,555$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0529343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No65c1,545$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.395276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No65c1,526$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.968243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No65c1,431$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.818670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c1,343$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes33c1,291$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.815518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes34c1,221$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.2911446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No66c1,136$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3611855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No69c1,116$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.198958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed No65c1,100$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…8d92backed Yes35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes13c1,083$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5610433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes15c1,077$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.554425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f1…2638backed No66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No65c1,018$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.461764.7%11 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3609843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3407844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No65c999.98$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.669246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes23c969.67$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4317234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Yes37c906.54$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c905.22$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.031,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No64c844.93$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.932373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes14c810.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.463823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28816737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes33c799.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2648747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5813449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes14c720$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1861…47eebacked Yes30c715.5$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No64c690.82$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.74862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes34c690$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.63650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes35c681.23$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2425339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes29c649.01$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.454637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0611052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+106.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes34c569.03$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Yes31c564.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes36c561.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No64c552.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8815764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes11c488$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes33c484.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed Yes22c480.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.761020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79ce…74bdbacked Yes37c448.41$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked No67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.763246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No69c434.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.935280.8%42 W · 10 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes33c425.07$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe532…29dcbacked Yes35c412.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abb…452ebacked Yes35c412.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes22c400$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.