Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d0003cba6693c2d48d9b404b50328f75f12b0d2dcdc40e7145fc704f9542a6

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $683,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $736,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,457 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	66c	61,882$41,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,775.98	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	67c	46,383$31,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,195.28	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	8c	40,000$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked Yes	35c	37,716$13,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,200.55	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No	71c	35,086$24,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,201.4	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	36c	29,611$10,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,621.63	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No	67c	25,714$17,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,485.55	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	36c	22,498$8,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,149.06	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	65c	19,424$12,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,809.94	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No	66c	17,109$11,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,818.86	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes	36c	15,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No	67c	14,100$9,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,652.98	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	64c	10,783$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,883.08	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Yes	37c	8,905$3,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,256	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	64c	8,313$5,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,347.11	280	70%196 W · 84 L	+49.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed No	63c	8,000$5,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,979.89	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes	33c	7,777$2,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,566.41	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes	36c	7,107$2,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,558.58	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	65c	6,933$4,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,457.65	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed No	64c	6,846$4,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,464.51	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	65c	6,621$4,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,343.72	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	65c	6,471$4,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,272.92	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	32c	6,350$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032.14	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1425backed Yes	31c	6,195$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,944	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Yes	33c	6,061$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	64c	5,642$3,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,047.34	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No	67c	5,633$3,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,875.68	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	5c	5,630$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.06	252	25%63 W · 189 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Yes	36c	5,556$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Yes	32c	5,017$1,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,611.51	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No	65c	4,753$3,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,663.56	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes	36c	4,628$1,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes	34c	4,500$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes	36c	4,205$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	145	44.1%64 W · 81 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No	65c	4,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.97	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	41c	3,600$1,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,132.99	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes	37c	3,378$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	40c	3,221$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,932.4	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	36c	3,130$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.19	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	36c	3,121$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.7	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No	64c	2,999$1,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.69	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No	65c	2,988$1,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.85	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes	34c	2,933$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.34	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No	63c	2,931$1,846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,084.37	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+6.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No	68c	2,900$1,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b7…430cbacked Yes	37c	2,710$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.65	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefa…2d63backed Yes	37c	2,608$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No	76c	2,595$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.85	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes	30c	2,500$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Yes	33c	2,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed No	67c	2,500$1,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.94	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Yes	59c	2,499$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474.59	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	65c	2,413$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.79	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed No	64c	2,413$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.19	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed No	68c	2,235$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.24	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes	59c	2,210$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.79	138	29%40 W · 98 L	-13.5wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes	35c	2,200$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6906…67ecbacked Yes	60c	2,132$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacfb…2288backed Yes	35c	2,129$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	50c	2,088$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.22	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Yes	56c	2,000$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	37c	2,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.99	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.98	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No	63c	1,990$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.29	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	+7.4wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	57c	1,966$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.01	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-7.0wins	-0.19per pick	38cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No	41c	1,707$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.32	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes	34c	1,700$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.76	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6146…3f29backed No	65c	1,539$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes	33c	1,520$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.6	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Yes	33c	1,515$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Yes	33c	1,515$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes	33c	1,515$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	32c	1,500$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked No	32c	1,500$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No	68c	1,471$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.59	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes	57c	1,404$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	36c	1,389$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40de…450abacked Yes	36c	1,389$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x941e…a442backed Yes	36c	1,389$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.8wins	-0.42per pick	54cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes	62c	1,377$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.96	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	31c	1,348$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes	15c	1,334$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes	51c	1,294$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No	65c	1,266$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.26	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+8.9wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x89bc…c6a5backed Yes	34c	1,256$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	65c	1,203$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.71	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Yes	33c	1,178$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Yes	34c	1,178$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.4	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No	74c	1,112$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.12	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes	36c	1,111$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No	65c	1,102$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.7	157	64.3%101 W · 56 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes	37c	1,100$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes	47c	1,056$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes	36c	1,033$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.1	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?this page
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?No won
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event