TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes27c15,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.994841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c12,763$4,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,268.384,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c6,450$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.782,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes74c3,502$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.993450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No73c3,302$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.494751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes26c3,251$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.712846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c2,870$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe99a…918fbacked Yes66c2,851$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked No74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.73348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Yes77c2,610$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes20c2,338$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.775822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes27c1,860$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.214943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes27c1,850$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.51520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No73c1,823$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2714147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No74c1,544$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.525164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No72c1,456$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.582552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No74c1,321$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.412763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe1…f922backed Yes43c1,280$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes73c1,238$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.7624146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No73c1,125$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.752665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c1,042$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.621,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No74c1,025$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes71c1,001$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7108043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f19…2eccbacked Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27060%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56fe…74dbbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c911.81$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.192,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed Yes26c799.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c770$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9839156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes24c645.38$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c582$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.291,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No73c542.75$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5414754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfb…6bf1backed Yes27c529.63$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa601…cb7fbacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c481.77$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Yes68c441.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes27c419$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1325648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No59c418.48$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed Yes74c407.77$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes25c364$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No73c335.15$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes71c315$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0625052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes32c312.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No78c304.44$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes64c303.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0318251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8118551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Yes68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Yes24c260$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes27c248.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9815350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No76c241$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8410051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No75c235$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7510448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes27c233$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2220246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes21c222.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.810751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c209.41$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.541,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c209$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.031,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…6602backed Yes27c208.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.322343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5430050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7c…69dfbacked Yes80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes28c187$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c160.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb873…c4ecbacked Yes36c153.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…6a54backed Yes27c151.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.523353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fff…531cbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c141.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0173258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05a1…89f9backed Yes27c130$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6119…d7fabacked Yes14c127.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.132020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedbd…9a3bbacked Yes78c127.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+142.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc263…9325backed Yes79c125.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004050%20 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No73c119.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes28c116.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.510139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Yes72c115.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.824146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…b824backed Yes27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ed…cf8bbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304055%22 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No73c105.79$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.