TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes60c11,189$6,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.518153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No39c10,000$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.26240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6002250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c8,133$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,471.531,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Yes45c6,777$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No57c6,036$3,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42517042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes69c5,887$4,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.573450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes50c5,486$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.961,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.997754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No55c3,749$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.1537054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No55c3,645$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.441275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6802832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes43c3,000$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No36c2,798$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No56c2,777$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.194358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c2,672$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.682,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed No40c2,525$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.012425%6 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No55c2,500$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.3714147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No31c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.956048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.982755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes44c1,846$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.887844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c1,807$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.636,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2015…3ddcbacked No56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…6a00backed No56c1,774$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…b346backed Yes44c1,770$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes45c1,698$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.914456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes45c1,605$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.0522534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x313b…09c3backed No7c1,329$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes78c1,280$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5522458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes28c1,200$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8688046.3%37 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c1,121$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.882,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes46c1,086$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.877844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c1,058$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.581,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bc…84febacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…8390backed No55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No55c999.98$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.999358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c900.19$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.611,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c865.89$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3596445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No54c864.34$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes70c840.58$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8416851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe1…f922backed Yes16c833.63$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.03616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No56c819.26$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes42c740.5$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.184645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c713.64$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.4268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes32c705.65$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.094,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes43c697.28$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6712748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No56c619.64$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3478842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes45c599.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6720246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.184731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No52c523.64$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7418251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed No56c522$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.322842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No8c518.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2720931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6b…925abacked Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28517833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed No56c480.36$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2691040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed No56c480$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.82259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No23c460.07$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.827138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.449244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No78c437.91$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.574062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No56c431.51$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6430739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No56c419.64$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes44c416.15$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.054643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes21c414.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4219743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes45c388.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.898237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No57c361.3$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.944551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x034d…7cb5backed No53c319.5$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes44c300.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16821839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17120144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No55c279.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.984854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Yes45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked Yes44c258.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.842250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1809134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12bb…cee9backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No34c217$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c203.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.011,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No55c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6730050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16032822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11210333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed No55c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80f7…3d6abacked Yes23c197$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007740.3%31 W · 46 L-11.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes74c184$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.