Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e315d145fc64ccb27336c8ab8811bb00e0f21b04b516fc28a34bb7a37deac62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Arsenal FC, Brighton & Hove Albion FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 74,931$37,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,972.56 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 50,139$25,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,866.92 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 29,003$14,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,600.96 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 10,267$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.2 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 47c | 9,811$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 9,183$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.49 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.85 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 39c | 7,500$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 7,325$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.55 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC | 58c | 6,965$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 6,689$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 5,418$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Arsenal FC | 47c | 5,102$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 4,625$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.75 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 53c | 4,364$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 3,925$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.57 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 51c | 3,397$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.44 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 53c | 2,930$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Arsenal FC | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 51c | 2,250$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.4 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Arsenal FC | 47c | 2,193$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 38c | 1,553$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.38 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.79 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Arsenal FC | 45c | 1,176$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 1,044$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.55 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Arsenal FC | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Arsenal FC | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 860.78$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Arsenal FC | 67c | 851.46$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 725.49$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 718.33$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.43 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 652.87$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 47c | 435.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 53c | 414$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 379$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…29f1backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…6eaabacked Arsenal FC | 68c | 324.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…5cfebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 290.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…be02backed Arsenal FC | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 249.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…d976backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 206.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 205.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…6db6backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Arsenal FC | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 66c | 150.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 129.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 51c | 119.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Arsenal FC | 61c | 116.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…01b0backed Arsenal FC | 47c | 116.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Arsenal FC | 42c | 112.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Arsenal FC | 67c | 110.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 108.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…a26abacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 102.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…b278backed Arsenal FC | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Arsenal FC | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 91.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 79.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 37c | 77.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…17ebbacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Arsenal FC | 60c | 68.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.