Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b5e22c330cc30e69e40ef6c601304553927a3a020ea4c4a77e21a0b34e6a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,688$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 51c | 2,230$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.7 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.29 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 50c | 1,139$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.58 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 37c | 786.49$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.49 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 779.81$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.11 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…cab1backed No | 50c | 397.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 51c | 275$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 217.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 181.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 51c | 105.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 48.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Yes | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 50c | 45.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 51c | 42.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 62c | 42.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…dd8bbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked No | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Yes | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…bf10backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.