TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under38c16,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.986137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c15,461$6,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,515.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under39c12,761$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.7821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over61c11,358$6,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.112,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over62c8,347$5,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.991,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over56c7,999$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.5610148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over57c7,280$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.44158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c5,373$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Under38c4,427$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.175431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over62c3,568$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.281,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bc…c75bbacked Over57c3,050$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.151540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.831,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82010050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eef…b454backed Under39c1,786$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,033$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.762,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under39c989.95$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under38c915.38$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under7c719.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under47c637.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.616262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29014845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over57c513.6$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.852161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under39c499.75$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.98740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10517955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Over59c243.86$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9816346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under41c238.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9537342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over64c238.64$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6410433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Under39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.211557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Over58c172.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.038259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.498743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over73c165.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.752475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2921043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over59c154$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.182740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864459.1%26 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over62c141.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.949444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over74c137$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.626642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Over58c123.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4703…ce7fbacked Under31c121.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over72c106.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3411255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60aa…0df0backed Over62c104.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.711258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under34c97.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under40c95.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8542658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Under40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3724158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under39c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.471471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under39c71.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.935158.8%30 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…73f0backed Over63c70.9$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5223741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under39c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.574949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b1…2146backed Under32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e70…2227backed Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…87c9backed Over62c54.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.781250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Over74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.054360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Under42c52.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.73262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over62c43.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under33c42.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8636545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6828654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Over62c37.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.117254.1%93 W · 79 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Under39c36.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5585…dd3ebacked Under42c35.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433a…e3d9backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.266566.2%43 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x921a…bab9backed Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under37c28.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5817837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over62c28.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.743345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked Over63c28.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Over61c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.531258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over68c26.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4225256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.144757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over62c25.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d5…9585backed Over59c25.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.55352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3212159.5%72 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c4…e05abacked Over70c19.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.911384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+55%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over61c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fc…c985backed Over63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over57c18.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c28…28e3backed Over59c18.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.