TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9731…9b35backed Over39c5,353$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.831,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over39c5,352$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.4650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c4,011$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.956,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c3,780$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.191,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c3,047$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.082,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over38c2,467$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.376137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Under62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.351968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41bc…c75bbacked Over53c1,899$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e04…0ce0backed Under61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c1,181$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.942,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over39c999.9$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9645936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c619.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.94,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c600$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2891,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under61c499.82$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.938740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.874938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2322…82c0backed Under74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over28c310.71$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8719357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under64c275.76$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2737342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab5f…4175backed Over40c247$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c242.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10416731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Under62c241.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.723348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.214845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over40c212.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over32c210.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7524158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55f5…01b0backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over31c177.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4710433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under61c175$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.253748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under61c169$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.914148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c166$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under70c165.67$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.961,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5ce8…3cefbacked Under72c134.48$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over38c129.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under61c111$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.294257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x225a…d866backed Over55c91.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under57c87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4145751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under61c84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.762466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Under63c83.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.833354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6516552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.27642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Under62c77.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4212753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…20c0backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd5…30f0backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over53c69.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over39c69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under61c63.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.767452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under57c61.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4317744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under64c61.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5189152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Over50c61.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.745028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6936545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under60c57.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2315952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under62c56.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Under61c54.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.095952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under66c53.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9729041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed Over42c52.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.142744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under63c50.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6542658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under57c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5528246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over65c47.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Over39c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed Over39c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.552152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4775…a14bbacked Over60c42.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over39c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.382770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over39c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d5…9585backed Over39c38.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1293…9587backed Under61c37.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under61c36.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3810656.6%60 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc081…224dbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under59c33.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.678759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.794753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204173.2%30 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…a8a9backed Under73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed Over39c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846b…255bbacked Under74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad0…bb98backed Under62c25.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Under62c25.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.822955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x123c…e814backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over54c23.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under62c21.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2915558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea11…c16abacked Over68c20.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e6…23e4backed Under75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d36…3948backed Under62c19.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.