Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d13d4ddd71850898f69cec0285372693d89de28acc95d232d73a57dd5adfe37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 67c | 51,981$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 24,378$6,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,027.2 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 32c | 17,225$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,705.96 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 34c | 15,682$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,350.34 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 11,144$8,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,344.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 3,850$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.29 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Under | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 57c | 2,976$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 33c | 1,655$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.04 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Under | 80c | 1,051$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 34c | 986.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.41 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 26c | 581.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.83 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…10b8backed Under | 66c | 453.09$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed Under | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Under | 76c | 350.01$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 9c | 158.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Over | 25c | 144$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Under | 67c | 115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 70c | 111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 97.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Over | 33c | 96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 71c | 95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Over | 35c | 85.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 59c | 81.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 78.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Over | 41c | 72.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 34c | 63.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 58c | 51.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Over | 26c | 43.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Over | 68c | 40.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…1b72backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Under | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…7b54backed Under | 77c | 21.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Under | 70c | 20.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Under | 63c | 19.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Under | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 60c | 16.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.