Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f61d2b5a821f2803ce6bdd02d04dbc221ef36666b6a6463b3f5e3d071c0523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 25,129$11,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,934.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 14,548$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 3,911$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.08 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 50c | 2,520$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Over | 42c | 1,164$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over | 58c | 870$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 833.74$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.78 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 56c | 765.06$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.24 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 70c | 728.57$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 58c | 503.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…0accbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Under | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 56c | 316.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Under | 24c | 284.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 58c | 237.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 237.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 46c | 170.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 11c | 158.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…d5dabacked Over | 74c | 133.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Over | 58c | 122.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 35c | 119.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Under | 63c | 117.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 55c | 98.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 68c | 94.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 92.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…a7ffbacked Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 58c | 89.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 43c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…77b9backed Over | 58c | 67.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 57c | 64.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Over | 66c | 63.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Over | 56c | 50.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…8a80backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 44.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 36c | 42.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…4e54backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 33.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Over | 57c | 28.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Over | 77c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 56c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 48c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 55c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 59c | 21.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.