TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ace…07c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$50.03
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$83.35
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$58.29
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$71
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+111.8%+$78.23
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$45.22
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$53.56
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$71
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$37.79
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$69.18
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$55.79
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$98.05
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$18.62
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$48
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$46.64
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$54
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$68.22
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$124.9
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$44.3
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$47.33
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$50.03
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$28.4
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44.79
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.08
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Pachuca vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$47.33
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.