Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e5ea3a4aeb2660d7b32d1f4f89735525336402c45a2d7e1fa52e0ba4a83f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 48c | 25,828$12,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,430.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 52c | 12,885$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 51c | 4,898$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 51c | 4,660$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 52c | 4,615$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 47c | 1,417$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 52c | 1,369$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,205$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.37 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Over | 56c | 1,011$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 48c | 802.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 748.09$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.92 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Under | 51c | 682.65$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 80c | 501.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 460.49$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 50c | 444.34$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 52c | 423.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 51c | 389.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 53c | 373.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 55c | 364.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 294$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Over | 50c | 225.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Over | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 202.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Under | 54c | 185.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 56c | 179.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Under | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 136.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 130.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 12c | 126.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 45c | 111.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5c82backed Over | 47c | 109.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 27c | 83.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 49c | 77.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 79c | 72.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 58.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 37c | 49.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 49c | 44.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 50c | 38.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 52c | 32.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe73a…ec04backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 21.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…a832backed Over | 61c | 16.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.