Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5591f8cc52782de0241bbd6e8ee42179d0a2aa802b4da16adceb006e11e9eeee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 3,430$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.66 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Over | 46c | 3,062$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 2,972$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.29 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 19c | 869.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 55c | 680$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…6e5ebacked Over | 24c | 650$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 511.04$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 26c | 510.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 29c | 448.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 57c | 342.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 65c | 341.54$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 328.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 79c | 313$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 303.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 29c | 286.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 52c | 250.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 239.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 33c | 229.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 214.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 193.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…c119backed Over | 55c | 146.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 57c | 125.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 25c | 101.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…d61bbacked Under | 49c | 98.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 73c | 82.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…5ffabacked Over | 67c | 69.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over | 26c | 46.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…a832backed Over | 34c | 44.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 62c | 43.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Over | 49c | 40.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 38.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 37c | 37.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…7e03backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Over | 54c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 60c | 18.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked Under | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 16.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.