Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86ef010185baa97063585735f0a6159369a59ad738746ea1fb4d6113fda45140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.98 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 1,382$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.77 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 75c | 610.25$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 604.24$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 66c | 575$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 26c | 461.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 27c | 377.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 26c | 341.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 75c | 230.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 118.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 116.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 71c | 112.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…5cb5backed Over | 75c | 103.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 99.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Over | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 31c | 58.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Under | 29c | 57.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over | 72c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Over | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Under | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 38.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.