Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d025b3303788caa6a5e14b518b93162cea2e670b6c42173f74e3342c8e1b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed No | 48c | 526.19$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 52c | 440.38$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 437.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 405.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 54c | 146$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 126.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 56c | 83.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed No | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked No | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Yes | 55c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.