Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea02299003dd3941fc93578262c068298dfb9cbbfcd431ca01e4620dbb1ab6a

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,052 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9dd…b525backed Over	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,639.98	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	2,488$1,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.69	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under	57c	2,128$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.15	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	35c	2,105$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.46	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	26c	1,953$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.22	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	43c	1,886$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.29	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Over	26c	1,827$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under	59c	1,525$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.42	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	58c	1,500$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	63c	1,321$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.77	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-16%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under	63c	854.33$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.55	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	80c	451.43$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.86	108	74.1%80 W · 28 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over	41c	343.46$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.64	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under	59c	305.08$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.08	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	58c	304.43$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.86	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	58c	262$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.04	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	47c	241.32$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.9	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c72…9567backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	216	48.6%105 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	10c	199.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	40c	179.96$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.67	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Under	59c	168.24$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.98	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	38c	162.56$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.79	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Under	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over	40c	129.96$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under	60c	118.33$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.33	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Over	42c	117.86$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Over	53c	111.19$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.93	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	45c	110.93$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.01	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	68c	101.08$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.64	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2da…6a1dbacked Under	59c	101$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	57c	100.26$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over	34c	97.05$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	31c	96.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.96	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c46…8471backed Over	42c	96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over	20c	81.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.78	104	33.7%35 W · 69 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	56c	57.5$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5812…3e4ebacked Over	42c	53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under	79c	52.88$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Under	58c	52.09$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.88	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f21…dc40backed Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f69…91d6backed Over	42c	43.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb259…72fbbacked Under	59c	41.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.82	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	36c	40.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under	58c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	297	51.9%154 W · 143 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Over	42c	35.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433a…e3d9backed Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	65	66.2%43 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under	55c	32.88$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under	56c	27.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.11	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Over	42c	26.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under	57c	20.89$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.98	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c2…57d4backed Under	59c	18.64$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.64	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5this page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Everton FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event