Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135fee5e0d76e3c98cb193e2afc06b21e6bfec6c51021b216f4655018fe26c09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 4,213$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.71 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,909$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,752$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.45 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 68c | 1,465$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.74 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 1,221$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.81 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 817.2$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 70c | 724.63$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 57c | 315$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 68c | 187.07$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 186.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 173.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 69c | 170.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 31c | 154.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 36c | 134.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 70c | 87.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Under | 27c | 61.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 66c | 60.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 49.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Over | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.