Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa2edf48b5ada4f0a89ea28f1b8363ee50ae083f243b136a45afe4c4868b4623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 53c | 2,092$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.52 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked No | 80c | 1,088$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 856.44$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.32 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 47c | 724.31$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 552$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.77 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 52c | 319.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 53c | 279.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 204.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 14c | 172.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 59c | 167.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…5648backed No | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 52c | 105.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 48c | 85.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Yes | 48c | 82.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 60c | 81.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 79.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1bcdbacked Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…02d6backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked No | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 39c | 37.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 52c | 32.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 52c | 32.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…5952backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…17aebacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…babbbacked Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 47c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…9320backed No | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…e62fbacked Yes | 77c | 15.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.