TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$470,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$600,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcec3…b76dbacked Over43c233,455$99,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,472.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c47,413$27,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,227.352,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c38,610$22,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,007.4246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c32,471$18,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,574.1758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under57c26,686$15,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,199.0417853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over43c22,003$9,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,606.661526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,40028643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Under57c15,602$8,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,893.311643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under57c7,741$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.2510733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under58c7,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0602045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Under40c6,289$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Under37c5,497$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c4,938$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.351,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c4,700$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under57c4,380$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.5216144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2805350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under58c4,000$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.0129350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Over49c3,673$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Under57c3,333$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under58c2,611$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5121421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under57c2,276$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.0410845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c2,146$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.7860041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over43c2,004$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.2820644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over41c1,991$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.697946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under53c1,877$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under57c1,569$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.7720947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85513644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under57c1,454$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.922254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under49c1,380$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.675143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over41c1,250$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under57c1,220$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over50c1,178$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.246852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c1,172$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.3338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over42c990$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.23056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under57c979.68$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.422740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Under73c822.33$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46414447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Over41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4134839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under59c599.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under59c599.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under58c551$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under57c514.81$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.642250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under46c500$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9238343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over47c489.36$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.82330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over60c477.65$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under58c466.05$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2813149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under58c430$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.45322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c420$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under58c420$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.621354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over43c349$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under58c333.78$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5916753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under58c330$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.417251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under58c330$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.417855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under58c320$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.615657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over40c308.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1855745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17412748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17411152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17428357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.464351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under58c280$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.413453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under57c263$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8810648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under57c261.88$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2712450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under6c249.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under58c249.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9946956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over56c244.24$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.665872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Over41c242.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under29c233$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4129142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under57c231.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Under22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under48c213.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.323050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over48c208.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.642763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Under57c205.26$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11618350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11618754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under58c190$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.213252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under59c189.34$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.711855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Under49c181.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+65.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.410650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…31bcbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010039%39 W · 61 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.