Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e13333620f09140fdc414960e9cd4bec8c2d6aacb332154ecfac17e8fb61c40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qarabağ Ağdam FKof Eintracht Frankfurt, Qarabağ Ağdam FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 23c | 4,268$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 77c | 3,736$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.91 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 23c | 1,250$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 74c | 701$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 519$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 17c | 472.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 419.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 330$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 330$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 22c | 234$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 18c | 127$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 120.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 76c | 53.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 75c | 37.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 76c | 32.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.