TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over64c16,125$10,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.9638043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under32c15,222$4,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,852.3158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Under36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c5,323$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.691,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Over64c2,813$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under36c2,472$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.7913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over64c2,200$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Over72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.38556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c1,421$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over64c1,330$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.621384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+105.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over64c1,244$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.772642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Under37c1,204$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under7c1,143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under38c1,076$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.644759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over64c1,003$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.036253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf548…9484backed Under18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c892$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3838343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over63c800$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.094860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over64c787.61$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.541526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over63c660.32$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.323844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under37c629.54$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0113931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under37c589.83$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.249445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over61c530.05$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Under36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c451$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.081,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under35c430.4$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over64c406.67$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.49653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under37c396$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.525322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6320655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c390.48$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.487065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under36c330$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under37c323.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.63946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over63c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.45653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under36c320$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.215657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under36c309$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over60c292.27$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.274955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.813453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.153158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over65c260$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over74c255.92$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7218350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over57c199.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.993455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c166.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under36c161$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over63c157.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.931855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c80…8a1dbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under36c147.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.111548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over64c126.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.482060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over74c124.27$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.092552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.45872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over64c117.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.252688.5%23 W · 3 L+8.1wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under35c116.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1110648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Under37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.753151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over63c85.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.634663%29 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over63c79.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.366841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.924639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over64c72.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1719856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Under23c68.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Under18c65.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.862015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over59c53.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Over64c51.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65068%34 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over64c47.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.40per pick41cpaid+118.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over64c44.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9313149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ec…2065backed Over74c40.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.752250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+103.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682969%20 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over63c38.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34037.5%15 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under35c38.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3743427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under37c33.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.512249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb013…cf94backed Over57c31.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc434…3d65backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2516553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…48cfbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…4b6cbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4815938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Over57c29.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+281%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under38c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Over61c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.143357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over71c25.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.446852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+46.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.