NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8711a523f4c2e35080c05ac620d35821852780cc6f43e364fa521bb5c6df856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks | 48c | 129,190$61,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,219.04 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 68c | 88,661$60,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,030.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Kraken | 57c | 74,109$42,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,490.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 52c | 49,064$25,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,372.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kraken | 19c | 33,185$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.87 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kraken | 19c | 33,060$6,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,271.24 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 52c | 10,980$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,709.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Ducks | 49c | 10,416$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.16 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Kraken | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kraken | 52c | 9,589$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.36 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 52c | 9,211$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.83 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 52c | 8,883$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.9 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 79c | 6,985$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.4 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 48c | 6,622$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.33 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 47c | 6,501$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.21 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 66c | 6,346$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.18 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ducks | 60c | 6,202$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.25 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 52c | 6,153$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.56 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 22c | 5,745$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Kraken | 18c | 4,714$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.45 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kraken | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…0fe6backed Kraken | 19c | 3,732$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 16c | 3,564$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.8 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kraken | 10c | 3,365$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.1 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 48c | 3,345$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Ducks | 11c | 2,745$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.05 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 37c | 2,722$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.86 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Ducks | 80c | 2,511$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.65 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kraken | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 57c | 2,184$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.87 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Kraken | 26c | 2,166$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Kraken | 18c | 2,032$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Kraken | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks | 76c | 1,898$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.34 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,888$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Ducks | 48c | 1,821$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.84 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Ducks | 48c | 1,819$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.97 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kraken | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.13 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kraken | 21c | 1,746$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.42 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 47c | 1,653$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.22 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Kraken | 52c | 1,510$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 51c | 1,503$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 49c | 1,503$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.67 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 77c | 1,493$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,395$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.63 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Ducks | 48c | 1,165$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Ducks | 57c | 1,123$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.33 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.92 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Ducks | 55c | 1,008$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Kraken | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Kraken | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Ducks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…8894backed Kraken | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ducks | 45c | 933$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Ducks | 3c | 922$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.05 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ducks | 74c | 907.28$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kraken | 37c | 901.98$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Ducks | 43c | 877.67$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.25 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Ducks | 62c | 822$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ducks | 67c | 792$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.61 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks | 54c | 783.95$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.51 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Ducks | 5c | 750$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.25 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Ducks | 49c | 745.67$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Kraken | 15c | 682.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Kraken | 15c | 665.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Ducks | 78c | 636.08$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kraken | 34c | 619.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.71 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 63c | 597.56$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Kraken | 52c | 584.43$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kraken | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kraken | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Kraken | 52c | 547.35$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kraken | 18c | 522.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kraken | 18c | 508$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked Kraken | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Kraken | 45c | 491$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kraken | 52c | 477$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ducks | 48c | 472$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…f21ebacked Ducks | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Ducks | 47c | 423.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 47c | 421.4$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.34 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Ducks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Kraken | 21c | 402.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Ducks | 47c | 378.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Kraken | 53c | 378$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Ducks | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kraken | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Kraken | 12c | 336.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Ducks | 49c | 314.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Kraken | 13c | 301.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Kraken | 19c | 301.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Krakenthis page
- Ducks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.