Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed72445ed992239db7bdc14e3748b88cb49967d3f65e7c10858d9f91ab4ede0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 12,626$6,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,412.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 6,857$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.74 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 4,792$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.09 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 3,255$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 51c | 3,176$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 3,036$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.13 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 73c | 1,371$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 51c | 1,183$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 2c | 999.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 990.27$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 818.79$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.21 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 778.22$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.11 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 42c | 671.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 50c | 667.22$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.61 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 648$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 52c | 636.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 70c | 519.74$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Under | 60c | 501.47$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a46cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 50c | 403.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 51c | 398.81$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Under | 49c | 379.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 50c | 333.73$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 51c | 311.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 290.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 237.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 7c | 237.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 59c | 234.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 30c | 215.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 44c | 215.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 51c | 215$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 44c | 199.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 38c | 168.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Under | 51c | 162.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…a20fbacked Over | 50c | 137.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…c7debacked Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Under | 63c | 129.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 41c | 123.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 56c | 117$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…5cb2backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 77c | 103.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 96.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 41c | 90.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 63c | 89.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 80.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Over | 51c | 68.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 51c | 59.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 50c | 53.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 51c | 53.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 25c | 50.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97bd…cdd2backed Under | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.