TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a26…5cb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$44.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$31.87
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+376.2%+$39.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.69
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$19.86
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$9.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.7%+$40.86
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+159.4%+$111.56
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+266.3%+$127.81
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.9%+$52.82
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.19
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+133.4%+$50.68
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.01
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$31.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.4%+$54.89
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+426.3%+$55.42
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
AC Milan vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$14.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid+42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.6%+$18.49
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.83
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$15.51
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.36
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.